The latest round of UN-sponsored negotiations on Cyprus has begun in Geneva, but expectations for a breakthrough remain low. Both Greek and Turkish Cypriot representatives, along with delegates from Turkey, Greece, the UK, and the EU, are attending the expanded five-party meeting. However, neither side has shown willingness to compromise, maintaining long-standing positions on the island’s future.

Cyprus has remained divided since 1974 when Turkey invaded the northern region following a coup aimed at uniting the island with Greece. Since then, numerous attempts at reunification have failed, leaving the conflict unresolved for decades.

Disagreements Over Security and Sovereignty

The main point of contention remains the status of the self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, recognized only by Turkey. Greek Cypriots, backed by much of the international community, seek reunification under a federal system, while Turkish Cypriots insist on maintaining Turkey’s role as a guarantor of their security.

Cypriot President Nicos Christodoulides has arrived in Geneva with a structured proposal, hoping to reignite meaningful negotiations. In contrast, Turkish Cypriot leader Ersin Tatar continues to stress the necessity of Turkey’s security guarantees, citing concerns over political and economic stability.

Tatar also noted that UN Secretary-General António Guterres has acknowledged a lack of common ground, making progress unlikely in the near future.

Public Skepticism and Faint Hopes for Resolution

Public sentiment across Cyprus remains cautious, with many citizens doubting that this round of talks will yield results. Political analyst Michael Michaelides states that while people understand the rigid positions, they continue to hope for a diplomatic breakthrough.

“The public hears the statements, sees the red lines, and senses the negativity, yet they still wish for a miracle,” he said.

Supporters of reunification welcome continued dialogue but acknowledge the likelihood of another stalemate. Reflecting on past efforts, Guterres once commented, “Squaring the circle is impossible in geometry, but it is very common in politics.”